Every investment decision has consequences; only the future will determine if it is a good decision. Due to the uncertainty of the markets and while many try to forecast the future, they have yet to achieve success consistently or reliably.Â
The past year was challenging with high interest rates and inflation, recession fears and a war which set the stage for nervous investors and downward markets. While all the major equity and fixed income asset classes were down, alternative “enhancer” asset classes had mixed results, supporting a well-diversified portfolio. In addition, a tilt towards quality and value further protected portfolios from experiencing the full decline of the markets.
nvestors are shocked that the so-called 60/40 portfolio failed to provide protection from the bear market in stocks this year. Many thought stock and bond prices always move in opposite directions, which was the foundation of their diversification strategy. Today the average 60/40 portfolio is down 18.63% compared with an 18.6% decline in the S&P 500, so this belief was wrong. The combination of rising interest rates and the threat of a recession has hammered both stock and bonds.
Investors are shocked that the so-called 60/40 portfolio failed to provide protection from the bear market in stocks this year. Many thought stock and bond prices always move in opposite directions, which was the foundation of their diversification strategy.
This year, interest rates have increased dramatically, leading to significant declines in bond prices. You may be most aware of this if you own a bond mutual fund or ETF.
Harvesting losses seems like an automatic thing to do in a year where most asset classes decline in value. Like anything else, though, it makes sense for some, but it is not a great idea for others. Even for those for whom it does make sense, the advantages are limited and only begin to benefit you once you have gains to offset the losses. For some people, surprisingly, capturing GAINS is a good strategy!