Investors are shocked that the so-called 60/40 portfolio failed to provide protection from the bear market in stocks this year. Many thought stock and bond prices always move in opposite directions, which was the foundation of their diversification strategy.
A prediction about an uncertain future is just an opinion and should not determine anyone’s investment decision. Many people learn this the hard way. Markets have always rewarded discipline – having an investment philosophy, a strategy to manage risk and sticking to it is the surest way to reap success when investing.
Warren Buffett is known for offering his investors these words of wisdom on more than one occasion. He intended to remind investors that everyone can look like a genius in a bull market, but undisciplined investing can leave you vulnerable during market downturns. Understanding and managing your risk is our number one job. Protecting against changing regimes and worst-case scenarios while providing exposure to growth is quite the balancing act. Still, financial science has proven that we can do it.
Many business owners and investment professionals believe the Fed’s actions to reduce inflation will result in a recession. Last week, the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked the Fed funds rate by 50bp to 0.75-1.00%, the first back-to-back hike since the second quarter of 2006, with expectations of a series of rate hikes.